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- Biggest stock market bubble in history will come
Biggest stock market bubble in history will come
- jaspart
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- greensheep
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- Double rainbow Boarder
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- JunJun.fr
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- Prime
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- bbNote
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- greensheep
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- Double rainbow Boarder
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im not wearing any pants right now. so ill have to hold my tighty whiteys tight for now.
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- Prime
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- bbNote
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- greensheep
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- Double rainbow Boarder
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next in line is huge dips mid year. will op hit 2 out of 3?
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- dogface9
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The high tech startup community in the US typically relies heavily on low-cost financing. Whenever the feds does their unexpected rate hike, it exposes vulnerabilities in markets and devalue securities and that's what you are seeing. However if the feds fail to prevent a hard landing with their risky interest hike, then If it was me. I definitely wouldn't want to park my money in places that are less resilient to contagions and today's situations. Personally invested on mostly EV companies like BYD because I believe in EVs. And I don't see good reason why I should withdraw just because others are now panicking and can't tolerate uncertainty well. Stocks will dip and dive and fluctuate and just not possible to always get maximum results. It's less stressful to just hold even when stocks momentarily dip, and keep your cool, if you did your due research.
In terms for normal everyday people, it's likely going to hurt for a while because for the US to avoid an economic bloodbath, it needs to minimally increase consumer spending. To do so, you ideally need gov stimulus, cheap credit, investor confidence in the markets etc. The stimulus wasn't enough. Basically US is potentially making a huge mistake now where it is raising interest rates and desperately hoping to "convince" investors to invest more and hence that drive up economic activity, which increases amount of capital flowing in the economy and helps stabilise long term low interest rates and beat inflation. Except if a hard landing (where high interest rates pushes the economy into a recession) does come, it will have wide impact that could be worse than 2008, and be prolonged longer. There are multiple reasons for this.
Silicon Valley Bank, with around 215 billion dollars in assets, having collapsed in March not just because of their excessive risk rewarding culture and recklessly trusted that the future of their strategy will be fine. But also because the demand for the US Dollar has been decreasing globally at an unprecedented super fast rate, and that spooks People's confidence and US Treasury bonds are now less attractive and so US banks feel like they have no choice but to offer higher interest rates to lure investors, which really corrodes away on their liquidity. But SVB vulnerability was more due to the fact it was overly heavily dependent on clientele in the (less mature) start-up sector, which got heavily damaged by the consequent Fed’s policy tightening. Because when start-up clients (relying on low cost financing) started to withdraw deposits to keep their companies afloat, SVB sadly ran out of capital quickly..However this is unlikely to impact other banks that are not so dependant in in any particular industry but are much wider.
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When rates go up, that pushes bond prices down, and any institutions that are on the wrong side of that can find themselves in a less sound financial condition than we might want,” Ricks said.
It’s in the nature of financial events to unfold quickly,” Ricks said. “No one can tell you with any certainty, no one can tell anyone with any certainty, that there’s not another shoe to drop here
www.vox.com/money/20...federal-reserve
Man who stand on hill with mouth open will wait long time for roast duck to drop in.
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