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Biggest stock market bubble in history will come

  • jaspart
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2 years 1 month ago #538940 by jaspart
I truly believe, one of the biggest stock market bubble in history will burst. Greater than the Nixxon Fallout, Financial crisis, Dotcom Crash, Black Monday and even the Great Depression. A little tick, starting on 3 May 2023 followed by big dips in mid 2023 till 2024 and a downtrend grinding till 2028. Hold your pants tight and buy toilet paper.

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2 years 1 month ago #538944 by greensheep
thanks for making a prediction thats only 2 days away. who can wait for a prediction thats months away amirite?
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2 years 1 month ago #538946 by JunJun.fr
OP, what else can you see in your Crystal balls?

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НАХУЙ ПУТИНА !

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2 years 1 month ago #538948 by Prime
Bold of you to assume I do not welcome a financial apocalypse.

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2 years 1 month ago #538955 by bbNote
That's quite the assumption lol... Can you please enlighten me more on the topic and the reasons for your assumption? Please, I'd love to know more about how it works. :)

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2 years 1 month ago #538957 by greensheep
the s&p is down a little right now. although its still the 2 may.

im not wearing any pants right now. so ill have to hold my tighty whiteys tight for now.

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2 years 1 month ago #538958 by Prime
I wouldn't exactly say stock market prices are at an all time high, but that doesn't mean several high profile banks failing should be ignored. This could lead the feds to temporarily halt interest rates, but I wouldn't exactly take out a loan for any sorts at the moment.

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2 years 1 month ago - 2 years 1 month ago #538961 by bbNote
It's the after effect of temporarily injecting the economy with money during COVID-19. Obviously, it's going to inflate currency. Theoretically, it would work and the idea is that people would be willing to spend more than the stimulus check and to keep money flowing in order to sustain a healthy economy. Unfortunately, they forgot to factor in that in times of uncertainty, people are less likely to spend money because COVID-19 destroyed a lot of jobs. I doubt the federal government will step in to halt the rise of interest rates. They need to keep the interest rates high for the economy to recover healthily. It's a normal part of the business cycle really... Essentially, they're trying to recollect the billions of dollars they injected into the economy and destroy the currency to bring back the value of the dollar. It's literally the only way. And then you got the war in Ukraine and the trade embargoes and tariffs everyone totally forgot about bringing down the economy and presidential election coming up. Political parties play a large role as well... anyways I'm talking too much lmao! I don't get paid for this shit lol... The only winners in a recession are debt holders! Because now they pay back money that's worth less than when they first took out the loan. If you got like $40k+ in student loans, count yourself lucky lmao! and pay it back during the recession when the moneys worth less.
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2 years 1 month ago #538968 by greensheep
it has dropped a bit more since yesterday. a little tick it is. maybe ops crystal balls really call see into the future :O.

next in line is huge dips mid year. will op hit 2 out of 3?

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2 years 1 month ago #538969 by dogface9
Unless you are actually interested in the topic. (I assumed that you are just making a non serious joke.) But I wouldn't worry too much about the stock market in the long run especially after the war and Sanctions lifted.

The high tech startup community in the US typically relies heavily on low-cost financing. Whenever the feds does their unexpected rate hike, it exposes vulnerabilities in markets and devalue securities and that's what you are seeing. However if the feds fail to prevent a hard landing with their risky interest hike, then If it was me. I definitely wouldn't want to park my money in places that are less resilient to contagions and today's situations. Personally invested on mostly EV companies like BYD because I believe in EVs. And I don't see good reason why I should withdraw just because others are now panicking and can't tolerate uncertainty well. Stocks will dip and dive and fluctuate and just not possible to always get maximum results. It's less stressful to just hold even when stocks momentarily dip, and keep your cool, if you did your due research.

In terms for normal everyday people, it's likely going to hurt for a while because for the US to avoid an economic bloodbath, it needs to minimally increase consumer spending. To do so, you ideally need gov stimulus, cheap credit, investor confidence in the markets etc. The stimulus wasn't enough. Basically US is potentially making a huge mistake now where it is raising interest rates and desperately hoping to "convince" investors to invest more and hence that drive up economic activity, which increases amount of capital flowing in the economy and helps stabilise long term low interest rates and beat inflation. Except if a hard landing (where high interest rates pushes the economy into a recession) does come, it will have wide impact that could be worse than 2008, and be prolonged longer. There are multiple reasons for this.

Silicon Valley Bank, with around 215 billion dollars in assets, having collapsed in March not just because of their excessive risk rewarding culture and recklessly trusted that the future of their strategy will be fine. But also because the demand for the US Dollar has been decreasing globally at an unprecedented super fast rate, and that spooks People's confidence and US Treasury bonds are now less attractive and so US banks feel like they have no choice but to offer higher interest rates to lure investors, which really corrodes away on their liquidity. But SVB vulnerability was more due to the fact it was overly heavily dependent on clientele in the (less mature) start-up sector, which got heavily damaged by the consequent Fed’s policy tightening. Because when start-up clients (relying on low cost financing) started to withdraw deposits to keep their companies afloat, SVB sadly ran out of capital quickly..However this is unlikely to impact other banks that are not so dependant in in any particular industry but are much wider.

..

When rates go up, that pushes bond prices down, and any institutions that are on the wrong side of that can find themselves in a less sound financial condition than we might want,” Ricks said.

It’s in the nature of financial events to unfold quickly,” Ricks said. “No one can tell you with any certainty, no one can tell anyone with any certainty, that there’s not another shoe to drop here


www.vox.com/money/20...federal-reserve

Man who stand on hill with mouth open will wait long time for roast duck to drop in.

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